Florida Housing Market Upbeat in January 2012

Florida’s housing market reported gains in median sales prices and a reduced inventory of homes for sale in January, according to the latest housing data released by Florida Realtors®.

“We’re seeing positive signs of a strengthening recovery in Florida’s housing market,” says 2012 Florida Realtors President Summer Greene, regional manager of Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate Florida 1st in Fort Lauderdale. “In both the statewide single-family and condo-townhome markets, pending sales are higher and the statewide median sales price rose – up 5.3 percent to $129,000 for single-family homes and up 18.8 percent to $95,000 for condo-townhomes. Improving the availability of affordable financing to qualified buyers and investors would continue to stabilize Florida’s housing market and economy.”

The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half for less. Sales of foreclosures and other distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes, according to housing industry analysts.

The national median sales price for existing single-family homes in December 2011 was $165,100, which is 2.5 percent below the previous year, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR). In California, the statewide median sales price for single-family existing homes in December was $285,920; in Maryland, it was $222,934.

Florida statewide sales of existing single-family homes totaled 12,044 in January 2012, down 5.5 percent compared to the year-ago figure, according to data from Florida Realtors Industry Data and Analysis department and vendor partner 10K Research and Marketing.

Looking at Florida’s year-to-year comparison for sales of condos/townhomes, a total of 5,963 units sold statewide last month, down 22.6 percent from those sold in January 2011. According to NAR, the national median existing condo price in December 2011 was $160,000.

“Even though closed sales are down from a year ago, there are two really bright spots in Florida’s housing market,” said Florida Realtors Chief Economist Dr. John Tuccillo. “One is a significant increase in pending sales. In fact, pending sales have been up every month since May. The barrier that stands between pending sales and closings is the difficulty consumers are experiencing in obtaining financing.

“The second positive is inventories, which are now at a point close to a balanced market,” Tuccillo said. The months supply of inventory stands at 6.4 for both the single-family homes market and the condos/townhomes market.

The interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.92 percent in January 2012, down from the 4.76 percent average during the same month a year earlier, according to Freddie Mac.

To see the full statewide housing activity report, go to Florida Realtors Media Center at http://media.floridarealtors.org/ and look under Latest Releases, or download the report under Market Data at: http://media.floridarealtors.org/market-data.

The January 2012 Florida Realtors home sales release marks a new statewide housing market reporting partnership between Florida Realtors Industry Data and Analysis department and a new vendor partner, 10K Research and Marketing. Housing sales data from the state’s 63 local Realtor organizations is collected and organized with the goal of providing unique, localized market reports to the local Realtor boards and associations within Florida Realtors, enabling the groups and their Realtor members to serve as the definitive voice of real estate in their respective local markets.

At the same time, Florida Realtors is providing comprehensive statewide housing market statistics – but this new data series only includes statewide numbers. Beginning with this January 2012 housing data report, Florida Realtors is no longer reporting any market data for Realtor members’ sales in the state’s metropolitan statistical areas, as had previously been reported in partnership with the University of Florida’s Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies.

Source: Florida Realtors

What Short Sale Homeowners Should Know

Homeowners considering a short sale may want to start the process now and should try to close by December 31, 2012 as the government may or may not extend the tax provision for any tax liability associated with forgiveness of a mortgage loan.

Short sales normally take time to process and may even fall through before homeowners can close on their homes. If a bank writes off debt in a short sale, it’s a “taxable event,” and the lender tells the Internal Revenue Service about the deal by submitting a “Form 1099-C, Cancellation of Debt” at the end of the year. Home sellers must acknowledge the amount when they fill out their federal taxes. The federal government forgives any tax liability associated with forgiveness of a mortgage loan.

The government generally considers forgiven debt to be income. If a seller has signed legal loan papers to take out a $200,000 mortgage and the lender accepts $100,000 in a short sale, for example, the seller received the equivalent of $100,000 in free money by government estimates. As a result, the IRS taxes it. The tax amount can be significant. On a debt of $100,000, a short-sale seller in the 25 percent tax bracket could end up owing $25,000 in income taxes.

For tax year 2012, however, the government still forgives the debt; in 2013, it might not.

In general, homeowners believe the government will extend this tax provision. However, as evidenced by the First Time Homebuyer Credit expiration in 2010, you can’t always count on the government to bail you out.

If you or someone you know need to consider a short sale, please consult with a local real estate professional who is knowledgeable with a short sale process and has a proven track record in the number of transactions they have completed to help homeowners avoid the foreclosure. Ask your real estate professional for his/her credentials and designations so you know they have the education and expertise in dealing with a pre-foreclosure/short sale process.

Housing Inventory Down 22% Nationwide; Median Home Price Up 5%

There were fewer homes listed for sale at the end of 2011 than in any of the previous four years, a positive sign for the housing sector.

Housing inventory slid to 1.89 million homes in December – down 6 percent from the previous month and 22.3 percent from the prior year, according to Realtor.com.

In the 145 markets tracked by Realtor.com, only Springfield, Ill., registered a year-over-year increase. Inventories plunged 49.7 percent in Miami, 49.1 percent in Phoenix, and 46.6 percent in Bakersfield, Calif.

Meanwhile, the national median price edged up 5 percent year-over-year.

Asking prices – the amount sellers include on a Realtor.com listing – climbed 32.5 percent in Miami, 21.7 percent in Naples, 21.5 percent in Fort Myers-Cape Coral, and 19.4 percent in Punta Gorda, according to Realtor.com.

However, asking prices were down 11 percent in Detroit, 10 percent in Chicago, 7.6 percent in Las Vegas, and 7 percent in Sacramento.

Source: Wall Street Journal

State of the Union: Obama’s Housing Proposal

President Barack Obama proposed a new program during his State of the Union address on 1/24/12 to allow homeowners with privately held mortgages to refinance at lower interest rates.

The program would cover both loans issued by government-controlled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and private mortgage lenders. Congress would have to approve it, a difficult hurdle.

“There’s never been a better time to build, especially since the construction industry was one of the hardest-hit when the housing bubble burst,” Obama said. “Of course, construction workers weren’t the only ones hurt. So were millions of innocent Americans who’ve seen their home values decline. And while government can’t fix the problem on its own, responsible homeowners shouldn’t have to sit and wait for the housing market to hit bottom to get some relief.”

The housing bubble was at the center of the recession, prompting widespread foreclosures and leaving millions of homeowners with houses valued at less than their mortgages.

Under the plan, any homeowner current on his or her mortgage could take advantage of historically low lending rates. Mortgage rates have been below 4 percent for months.

A small fee on large banks would pay for the program, senior administration officials said.

Administration officials offered few details but estimated savings at $3,000 a year for average borrowers. It’s likely that millions of homeowners would be eligible, but they would have to seek out refinancing options under the program with their lender. Other government programs allow lenders to seek out potential applicants.

Further details of the program will likely be released in legislation in the next few days, officials said.

The new program would expand the Obama administration’s Home Affordable Refinance Program, which allows borrowers with Fannie and Freddie-backed loans to refinance at lower rates. Few people have signed up for that program. Many “underwater” borrowers – those who owe more than their homes are worth – couldn’t qualify.

About 1 in 4 Americans with a mortgage – about 11 million – are underwater, according to CoreLogic, a real estate data firm. Roughly 1 million homeowners have refinanced through the refinancing program. Government officials had estimated it would help 4 million to 5 million homeowners.

About half of all U.S. mortgages – about 30 million home loans – are owned by non-government lenders.

A task force on mortgage misdeeds

President Obama also announced the creation of a task force aimed at investigating the shoddy mortgage-lending practices that contributed to the financial collapse of 2008 and the housing crisis that continues to weigh on the economy.

Obama said he has asked Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr. to create a special unit of state attorneys general and federal prosecutors to probe deeper into questionable lending practices and the way in which risky loans were packaged and sold to investors.

“This new unit will hold accountable those who broke the law, speed assistance to homeowners and help turn the page on an era of recklessness that hurt so many Americans,” Obama said in his State of the Union speech.

The creation of the task force comes as the administration and a coalition of state attorneys general are pushing to finalize a long-awaited multibillion-dollar settlement with the nation’s largest banks over their flawed and fraudulent foreclosure practices.

The deal has drawn criticism from liberal and consumer groups as well as attorneys general from New York, Delaware and other states, who have insisted that more extensive investigations are warranted and that any settlement should not grant banks too broad a liability from future legal action.

Source: The Associated Press

Jacksonville Ranks Among the Top 15 Best Performing Metros in 2011

I have read several market reports and articles and they all indicate that the housing market is stabilizing and many experts predict Florida real estate will lead the U.S. in price growth. Take Jacksonville for an example. Jacksonville ranks among the Top 15 best performing metros in 2011. Clear Capital, a California-based research firm, predicts that Florida’s four largest metro markets will see some of the nation’s highest rates of price appreciation in 2012.

Below is an excerpt from Real Estate Economy Watch:

Home prices this year cease their decline and gain a slight 0.2 percent across all markets as more and more individual markets stabilize in the months to come.

However, though national prices will be flat, some 40 percent of the top 50 markets it tracks will stabilize in 2012, forecast Clear Capital, a premium provider of data and solutions for real estate asset valuation and risk assessment for large financial services companies.

Clear Capital reported a 2.1 percent year-over-year decrease in 2011 that was bolstered by a stabilizing of prices in the latter half of the year and decreasing REO saturation.

“Overall, 2011 was a relatively quiet year for U.S. home prices compared to the last five years,” said Dr. Alex Villacorta, Director of Research and Analytics at Clear Capital. “With national prices down a little more than two percent for the year and sitting at their lowest point since 2001, our projections show that the current balance the market has found will continue through 2012.

“However, individual markets reacting to their local economic drivers exhibit a wide range of performance levels,” added Dr. Villacorta.

“Although the national numbers suggest markets are flat, when looking at individual metro markets it turns out only 24 percent of them showed signs of stabilization in 2011, while the others are still moving more dramatically higher or lower. What’s most interesting is that the lower segments of appreciating markets are driving much of the current price growth. In places like Florida, which have historically been hard hit, we are now seeing considerable activity in lower-end properties as demand continues to heat up.”

U.S. prices declined -0.4 percent in December on a quarter-over-quarter basis, showing the markets giving back some of the gains of the summer buying season. This is the first cooling off after six monthly reports showing minimal quarterly gains. In fact, the most recent six months of the year (June – December) saw national home prices flat at -0.1 percent.

While these national quarterly numbers for December fell slightly, half of the major markets covered saw quarterly gains. Dayton, OH checked in at the top of highest quarterly performers with a gain of 5.0%. On the downside, Atlanta, GA showed consistent weakness as December’s lowest performing major market with a loss of -8.4 percent quarter-over-quarter.

In addition to the relatively flat home price performance, national REO saturation rates at the end of 2011 reached a new yearly low at 24.8 percent. REO saturation was volatile early in 2011, and showed consistent declines and stability toward the latter half of the year.

On the national level, 2012 is expected to play out much like the last half of 2011, with a very subtle price change. A minimal decline in the beginning of the year is expected to turn into a meager gain by year’s end. At a more granular level, half of the 50 major metro markets are expected to post gains for the year, and individual metros will experience the full gamut of price movement, from double-digit growth to double-digit drops.

Double digit volatility can be seen with the two strongest markets, including Orlando with a healthy price increase of 11.7 percent, and Bakersfield close behind with a projected 11.1 percent increase. The deepest drops come from Atlanta with an expected drop of -14.4 percent, and Los Angeles with a predicted drop of -10.3 percent.

Florida markets are expected to extend their impressive 2011 performances into 2012. Miami and Tampa are projected to be among the five highest performing metros with 8.8 percent and 7.4 percent growth, respectively, and Jacksonville is forecasted to gain 4.3 percent, placing it at a respectable eighth among the top metro markets. The exceptional growth in these markets can be a result of several factors, including being hit especially hard in the downturn. While fighting back, they remain significantly off their highs of 2006. Other factors in play in these markets include large increases in the values of their lower priced homes (near double-digits for all markets) when compared to higher priced segments of the market, and a high percentage of all cash transactions (51.8 percent) when compared to other metros. This indicates a high degree of investor activity as they look for bargains in the region, driving up demand.

Although the range of movement for U.S. prices stabilized through 2011, prices have settled at the lowest level since early 2001. The forecast for 2012 shows home prices starting with a dip in the first quarter, improving in the spring and summer buying season, and continuing to climb to 0.2 percent overall growth for 2012. Individual markets reacting to their local economic conditions continued to exhibit a wide range of performance levels in 2011, with only 12 of the top 50 metro markets (24 percent), returning year-over-year price movement that can be considered stable – price swings of less than 2.5 percentage points. This will continue into 2012, with only 40 percent being considered stable. 

Source: Clear Capital and Real Estate Economy Watch

2011 Housing Market: A Year in Review

Ring out the old and ring in the new! We have seen a lot of changes in Year 2011 in housing market. As we are gearing up to welcome 2012, here’s looking back at the top stories in housing market this year:

- Record low morgage: Mortgage rates hit a record low of 3.94 percent this year. The lowest rates we have seen in years.
- Once-in-a-generation time to buy: Homes sold for a fraction of their value five years ago, and excess inventory provided every buyer with a range of options. In some cities, homeownership became cheaper than renting. But job insecurities made buyers nervous to commit. Those who did found it difficult to get financing despite stellar credit scores. As a result, 2011 saw a real estate market with great deals, yet fewer buyers than needed. In 10 years, however, many Americans may look back on 2011 as the best time in a generation to invest in real estate-.
- More homeownership: Most renters want to buy a home: 72 percent consider homeownership a good financial decision, and 64 percent believe the time is right, according to the National Association of Realtors® 2011 Housing Pulse survey.
- The economy rebounded, sorta, kinda, a little: The Florida economy remained sluggish as unemployment rates stayed uncomfortably high and home sales stayed uncomfortably low; but, across the board, the state showed signs of recovery, with almost every economic indicator suggesting brighter days ahead.
- Strong home sales: Home sales edged higher most months; selling prices held their own and, in a few cases, median selling prices rose. Floridians’ consumer confidence also rose toward the end of the year after bobbing around for most of the summer. Employment followed, and while the state has a long way to go to hit “normal,” it reached a 2011 level of “better than last year.”
- Attractive commercial market: Florida investors increasingly want to buy office, retail and industrial properties. Vacancy rates, while high, have stabilized, along with rental rates. Core assets (essential to businesses) are selling and lenders – including the life insurance companies – are lending again. Banks are more realistic about prices for distressed properties, and 2012 should see the entry of more commercial tenants. “With modest economic growth and job creation, the fundamentals for commercial real estate should gradually improve in the coming year,” adds Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.
- Florida Legislature: We got Amendment 4 and scrapped the cap: Florida Realtors had a number of victories in the 2011 Florida Legislature, but none as important as a constitutional amendment voters will consider in November 2012, and none so hard-fought as a law to “scrap the cap” on Florida’s affordable housing trust funds. Amendment 4, if approved by Florida voters, will create a property tax increase cap of 5 percent each year on non-homestead real estate, down from the current 10 percent cap. It will also give some first-time homebuyers a property tax break that decreases over time. In 2012, Florida Realtors will roll out its “Yes on 4” campaign. In the “scrap the cap” victory, the Florida Legislature agreed to allow all doc stamps earmarked for the affordable housing Sadowski Trust Fund to actually go into the fund.
- Fasten your seatbelts. Property insurance is a bumpy ride: Lawmakers wrestled with a question that has been around for years: Should property insurance be affordable or available? If affordable, a major storm could bankrupt the state. If widely available, the cost could drive buyers away and hurt current homeowners. Citizens Property Insurance, the state-owned insurer, sits squarely in the middle of the debate since it covers most of the high-risk properties and, should a major storm hit, would force all Floridians to help pay for damages. To attract private insurers to the state and cut down on the number of owners under Citizens, Gov. Scott and lawmakers made changes. Sinkhole coverage became optional and much more expensive. Citizens dropped about 7,500 coastal homes in early December, and policy costs and rules are set to become even stricter in 2012. The uneasy balance between affordable or available insurance shifted a bit closer to the “available” side.
- HAMP, HARP, TARP do little for at-risk homeowners: Falling home values and risky mortgages caused more Florida owners to face foreclosure. The government created, and modified, a number of programs slated to help owners keep their homes, but most applied only to about half of those in trouble – owners who had mortgages held by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Even then, however the carrots held out by HAMP, HARP, TARP and others didn’t entice lenders that feared principal cuts and long-term changes. The issue led to some strategic defaults – foreclosures where investors could afford to pay but walked away as a financial decision – court backups, and a system that allowed some non-paying owners to live in a home for over two years before authorities finally foreclosed. Analysts expect the problem to improve but continue in 2012.
- Should we slow the recovery to avoid another crisis? U.S. regulators have conflicting goals: Speed the recovery but, at the same time, take steps to make sure it never happens again. Unfortunately, it hasn’t figured out how to do both. While the federal government has tried to spark home sales through a number of programs (see No. 7 above), it has also created obstacles to homeownership by boosting mortgage rules, tightening appraisal standards and restricting the amount homeowners can deduct from federal taxes. A key concern of Realtors heading into 2012 is the qualified residential mortgage (QRM) rule – a minimum standard that mortgage loans must meet before Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac will consider buying them. Some lawmakers have suggested a 20 percent downpayment, a high standard that will force many buyers to wait years before they can afford homeownership. The discussion will continue in 2012.
- 2011 Realtors are different than 2005 Realtors: The skills needed to sell a house have changed. Realtors spend a lot more time talking to banks, trying to find out what’s happening with a client’s short sale; asking what paperwork they needed to file or re-file; and understanding new laws that oversee what they can do – and can’t do – when working with short-sale sellers. Realtors learned to accept disappointment – sales that fell apart at the last minute; appraisals that came in lower than hoped; and clients who wanted a bargain below any reasonable expectations.

Wishing you and yours a happy, healthy and prosperous new year!

More parents help kids buy homes

Twenty percent of baby boomers have helped at least one of their children achieve homeownership by purchasing a home for them, co-signing a mortgage or contributing to the downpayment, according to a survey by Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate.

Another 68 percent of those polled plan to help their children or grandchildren become homeowners down the road.

Experts attribute the trend to low home prices, parents wanting to provide some stability in their children’s lives and the fact that their children lack the necessary cash to make home purchases. These parents recognize that cash transactions offer better deals and quicker closings, or they know their children cannot afford a 20 percent downpayment or have a type of job, such as freelance or part-time, frowned upon by lenders.

However, experts insist that parents should not jeopardize their budgets or their retirement by helping offspring become homeowners, and they should make sure their children can afford the monthly costs and other expenses that accompany homeownership.

Source: CNNMoney